Talkbet

November 3rd

Really busy at the moment so will have to keep this post short and to the point! Been away for a few days so only got a chance to go through things this morning.

The in play app made a £135 loss on Friday followed by a £315 profit on Saturday. Saturdays profit helped it over the £1k mark for October and it finished up £1157
It also got off to a flyer on Sunday, the first of November, with a £479 profit followed by a small(ish) loss of £58 yesterday.

The XKR app finished the month on Saturday with a 20 point loss. Over the course of October it made 126 points, a very welcome return. Whether that's a one off, a good month, a bad month, an average month - I don't know, only time will tell. The app suffered a hiccup on Saturday evening though and as I wasn't around it hasn't run for the last couple of days.

Powerstats had a poor weekend with a loss of -40 points pushing it back into a loss for the season.
Powerstats Running Total -28 points (10 points per selection)

Should be some powerstat predictioins this week, will post them as I have them.

October 31st

Small 1 point profit on the night for the stats thanks to Southend's last min goal :o)

Another losing day for the in play app though with a £135 loss, last day of the month today, needs a good day today to finish the month off.

Great day for XKR with 34 point profit.

Here's the rest of the weekends Powerstats, be back Tuesday :o)

Saturday 31st October
Away Win predicted Wolfsburg v Mainz. Back Mainz at odds in excess of 7.0
Home Win predicted Burnley v Hull. Back Burnley at odds in excess of 1.91
Home Win predicted Man United v Blackburn. Back Man United at odds in excess of 1.17
Away Win predicted Portsmouth v Wigan. Back Wigan at odds in excess of 3.0
Away Win predicted Ipswich v Derby. Back Derby at odds in excess of 4.0
Away Win predicted Preston v Crystal Palace. Back Crystal Palace at odds in excess of 3.75
Away Win predicted Morecambe v Lincoln. Back Lincoln at odds in excess of 3.2
Away Win predicted Bordeaux v Monaco. Back Monaco at odds in excess of 6.0
Away Win predicted Marseille v Toulouse. Back Toulouse at odds in excess of 6.5
Home Win predicted PAOK v Xanthi. Back PAOK at odds in excess of 1.53
Home Win predicted Roda JC v Twente. Back Roda JC at odds in excess of 5.5
Home Win predicted Naval v Leixoes. Back Naval at odds in excess of 2.1
Away Win predicted Inverness C v Morton. Back Morton at odds in excess of 5.0
Away Win predicted Alloa v Clyde. Back Clyde at odds in excess of 3.6
Away Win predicted Peterhead v Stirling. Back Stirling at odds in excess of 2.25
Home Win predicted Ath Bilbao v Ath Madrid. Back Ath Bilbao at odds in excess of 2.6
Away Win predicted Besiktas v Ankaragucu. Back Ankaragucu at odds in excess of 8.5

Sunday 1st November
Away Win predicted Ein Frankfurt v Bochum. Back Bochum at odds in excess of 4.33
Home Win predicted Oldham v Huddersfield. Back Oldham at odds in excess of 2.63
Away Win predicted Rennes v Valenciennes. Back Valenciennes at odds in excess of 6.0
Home Win predicted Kavala v Panthrakikos. Back Kavala at odds in excess of 1.62
Home Win predicted Olhanense v Rio Ave. Back Olhanense at odds in excess of 2.35
Away Win predicted Pacos Ferreira v Leiria. Back Leiria at odds in excess of 3.25

Monday 2nd November
Away Win predicted Genk v Cercle Brugge. Back Cercle Brugge at odds in excess of 4.75

October 30th Update I

Couple of predictions for tonight:

Friday 30th October
Home Win predicted Mouscron v Standard. Back Mouscron at odds in excess of 5.25
Home Win predicted Southend v Gillingham. Back Southend at odds in excess of 2.0

October 30th

Another losing day for me. The in play app went down with a £61 loss, it's now at £977 profit for the month, can it break (and stay above!!) the £1k barrier over the next two days I wonder....?

XKR Auto also had another losing day to the tune of 12 points. That's three losing days on the trot, the first time that's happened since I started running it just over a month ago. Hopefully it'll bounce back today. The app is now running exactly how I want it to though, it's just a case of sitting back and seeing how it does, maybe add a few more feeds. Thanks for the comments Loocie, interesting stuff, good to know someone else out there has their head buried in code and databases as well! Link now added to your blog.

There's bound to be a load of Powerstats this weekend, I'll post them later and that'll be the last you hear from me for a few days as I'm off away.

October 29th

Poor day all round yesterday really, the in play football app lost £289 and XKR lost about 15 points.

I've totally re-coded the XKR app so it should run a lot more efficiently now. For anyone that cares or reads this, it was originally writing various text files all over the place, these were then read by other 'threads'. I've now coded the app so that nothing is written locally, all data is held in arrays of classes and passed to each thread as the thread starts, it should run a lot faster and efficiently, we'll see :o)

Not a lot else to report, oh, keep meaning to mention I watched The Damned United last weekend, good film and well worth viewing.

October 28th

Fine day yesterday for the in play football app with it's second best day of the month pulling in £475. Nice profit from the Alcorcon v Real Madrid game where the home team had a stunning 4-0 win, Alcorcan play in the third tier of Spanish football, the same division as Real Madrid's youth team, Castillas! That game not surprisingly turned the Betfair football forum into meltdown mode :o)  Went to Fratton Park as well last night to watch our destruction of Stoke, just wish we could turn our cup success into points in the league...!

Losing day though for XKR with a 10 point loss on the day. After Monday's great return it was no surprise, you won't win everyday, just so long as the overall profit line is going up then that's all you can ask for.

As I posted yesterday, there are no Powerstats this week. Friday will be the next possible day for predictions.

October 27th

Started the week off well with the in play app finally eeking out a profit of £28 to stop the rot. There wasn't a lot of in play football yesterday so it was mostly on the Reading v Leicester game.

The big news yesterday was the outstanding return of the XKR app, to the tune of 59 points no less, easily the best day it's had since inception. I started doing a bit of work on it early this morning as I believe I can tweak it a little more, it's just sort of grown since I wrote the app and I now realise there is a better and more efficient way of it running.

Doubtful there will be any powerstats this week, if there are I'll post them as soon as I have them.

Not much else to report really, as you were.

October 26th

Boy am I glad to see the back of that week. This time last week I was celebrating one of my best weekends ever and looking forward to the coming week. In the end it was pretty truely shocking all round. Lets pick over the bones, I'm sure people enjoy reading about it in a Schadenfreude type way...

The in play app got hit for £106 in the end on Saturday. Sevilla came to my rescue in the last major in-play game for the day. To be honest, I was quite pleased with myself, I was watching the game and Sevilla were totally all over Espanyol, at half time I seriously toyed with piling into Sevilla in a fit of desperation! Discipline got the better of me though and I left well alone, the game ended 0-0 so the app clawed a sizeable chunk back for the day and I'd saved myself a load of stress getting into a bad trade.
Sunday was better but still another loss for the app, just £8 this time though. It still made it 7 losing days on the trot. My 'record' is 9 losing days on the trot, that was back in May earlier this year. On the plus side, this app is still showing a profit of £809 on the month so I can't be down about it, that's still an excellent return.

XKR had a pretty mixed bag as well, loss of 6 points on Saturday and another loss of 5 points yesterday. It just seems to be treading water at the moment though and needs a couple of decent winning days to kick on really. 90 points profit for the month so far,  still an amazing return.
I managed to do some more manual trading with it yesterday, my trades show as a loss of about 14 points though as I just couldn't hit a winner, plenty of seconds but they are no use! On the major plus side though I've just looked through the 14 trades that I carried out. These were backed at 82% compared to the Betfair SP, obviously if I compared to industry SP it would be even more. These figures are massively encouraging and shows that this method has real scope, finding the time to do it is another matter, I have a plan though....!

The big disappointment this weekend was the powerstats, a loss of 90 points on Saturday and a further loss of 30 points yesterday meant a total loss over the weekend of 140 points. I didn't really have a chance to go over all the results although I did notice Hamburg yesterday managed to throw away a 2-0 lead at half time and ended up drawing 3-3.
Powerstats Running Total +12 points (10 points per selection)

The beauty of keeping detailed results and writing this blog is that you can get a clear idea of where you're at. It's easy to get down after a series of losing days but when you look at things over the longer term you realise that, actually, things are still going well, onwards and upwards as they say :o)

 

October 24th

The abysmal run continues. Last Monday I was writing about the stunning weekend I'd just had, since then it's been 6 solid losing days, this lark is certainly akin to a rollercoaster ride! The in play football app had another loss yesterday of £136 and today seems to be heading towards at least a £200 loss, probably closer to £300. What a mare of a week. OK, lets look at the positive here though, the bigger picture, blah blah, the app is still showing a decent'ish profit this month and a profit of £1k is still achievable with it, famous last words ? We'll see.

XKR had a small profitable day yesterday of 6 points. I've realised I need to tinker with the code a little more though, I think the sync'ing between the various threads and feeds coming in is not staying as it should. I'll probably need to rewrite quite a fair bit of it but it has to be done and shouldnt take to long. Today has seen it with a loss of 6 points though. On the plus side with this, I've managed to take the XKR manual for a test drive :o) It went pretty well, I was seeing the value prices and getting on them pretty much everytime, I should get the chance to do some more tomorrow, it'll be interesting to see the prices I'm getting based on the Betfair SP.

Powerstats had a couple of losers last night although backing at odds of 5+ (available on Betfair) you'll always get days like that! Interesting both teams took the lead as well! Today looks like a nasty day with them, I'll update the running total either tomorrow or Monday. On the subject of teams taking the lead I notice we had Frankfurt @13.5 and they took a 1-0 lead at Bayern Munich in the 60th min only to lose 2-1. Seems to of been a day of draws and whats if's though.

Here's tomorrows Powerstats:

Home Win predicted Mechelen v Anderlecht. Back Mechelen at odds in excess of 3.4
Home Win predicted Roeselare v Club Brugge. Back Roeselare at odds in excess of 7.0
Away Win predicted Schalke 04 v Hamburg. Back Hamburg at odds in excess of 3.25

October 24th

Heres the powerstats for today, will do a proper post later:

Away Win predicted Charleroi v Westerlo. Back Westerlo at odds in excess of 3.2
Home Win predicted St Truiden v Gent. Back St Truiden at odds in excess of 3.25
Away Win predicted Bayern Munich v Ein Frankfurt. Back Ein Frankfurt at odds in excess of 12.0
Away Win predicted Mainz v Freiburg. Back Freiburg at odds in excess of 3.4
Away Win predicted M'gladbach v FC Koln. Back FC Koln at odds in excess of 3.25
Home Win predicted Coventry v West Brom. Back Coventry at odds in excess of 3.5
Home Win predicted Exeter v Wycombe. Back Exeter at odds in excess of 2.1
Away Win predicted Port Vale v Cheltenham. Back Cheltenham at odds in excess of 4.0
Away Win predicted Rennes v Montpellier. Back Montpellier at odds in excess of 4.75
Away Win predicted St Etienne v Valenciennes. Back Valenciennes at odds in excess of 4.75
Home Win predicted Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos. Back Asteras Tripolis at odds in excess of 2.1
Home Win predicted Panionios v Giannina. Back Panionios at odds in excess of 1.8
Home Win predicted Ayr v Inverness C. Back Ayr at odds in excess of 3.2
Away Win predicted Cowdenbeath v Brechin. Back Brechin at odds in excess of 2.38
Away Win predicted Dumbarton v Arbroath. Back Arbroath at odds in excess of 4.0
Away Win predicted Peterhead v Alloa. Back Alloa at odds in excess of 3.75